Risk of Colorectal Cancer in Serrated Polyposis Syndrome: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Background & aims: Serrated polyposis syndrome (SPS) is characterized by development of numerous serrated lesions throughout the colorectum and increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, SPS has been an underrecognized CRC predisposition syndrome, and the true risk of CRC in SPS, both overall and in surveillance, is not known. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis is to describe the risk of CRC in patients with SPS.

Methods: Electronic databases were searched on March 25, 2021, for studies describing CRC risk in SPS. Random-effects meta-analysis was performed to assess pooled risk of CRC among SPS patients. Primary outcomes were risk of CRC at time of SPS diagnosis and during surveillance following diagnosis of SPS. Secondary outcomes included risk of CRC prior to diagnosis of SPS and effect of World Health Organization subtype on CRC risk.

Results: Thirty-six studies including 2788 patients with SPS were included in the analysis. Overall risk of CRC in SPS was 19.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 15.3%-24.5%). CRC risk at the time of diagnosis was 14.7% (95% CI, 11.4%-18.8%), while risk during surveillance was 2.8% (95% CI, 1.8%-4.4%), or 7 cases per 1000 person-years. SPS patients also had a high incidence of history of CRC prior to SPS diagnosis (7.0%; 95% CI, 4.6%-11.7). Subgroup analysis did not reveal any significant differences based on World Health Organization subtype.

Conclusions: Our meta-analysis demonstrated that patients with SPS have an elevated risk of CRC, which is highest at the time of diagnosis and suggests the importance of early SPS recognition and screening to modify CRC risk. The persistently elevated CRC risk during surveillance supports current guidelines recommending heightened surveillance protocols.