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The control and eradication of smallpox in South Asia


 

Rural vaccinator in United Provinces, British India, c.1930, private
collection of Dr. Sanjoy Bhattacharya
 

Smallpox was a devastating scourge. It was a highly contagious viral disease that killed up to half of those infected and seriously maimed survivors, through severe scarring of the skin with deep pock marks, blindness and infertility. However, those who did survive enjoyed protective immunity from further infection for the rest of their lives. The smallpox virus, or variola – its scientific name – exist in more than one form, some producing more severe illness than others. Historical and epidemiological evidence suggests that South Asia was home to the more virulent strain of the disease – variola major, which sometimes mutated into the deadly haemorrhagic form of smallpox. On the other hand, the less virulent variola minor – also known as alastrim – was commonest in Europe and North Africa, where mortality levels were lower and haemorrhagic cases extremely rare.

The tools of modern science have yet to explain the relation between the different forms of variola, why some strains were more virulent than others or how some individual human physiologies were better able to respond to infection than others. However, there is broad agreement in scientific, medical and public health circles about one point, namely, that variola major could inflict a heavy loss of life amongst non-immunised populations, killing between 25 to 50 per cent of those infected, whereas the case-fatality rate for variola minor could be as low as 1 per cent. The other striking aspect of variola major was its well defined features: high fever, deep rashes, oozing pustules and a putrid smell were the norm, and a large percentage of the victims tended to die from bleeding, cardiovascular collapse and secondary infections. Haemorrhagic smallpox caused death rapidly from dramatic internal and external bleeding.
 
 
Efforts at control


 

Poster advertising the benefits of
vaccination and the dangers of
smallpox, c.1970, Maharashtra,
India, private collection of
Dr. Sanjoy Bhattacharya
 

Historical evidence suggests that smallpox outbreaks were relatively regular occurrences in the continents of Asia, Europe and Africa. A range of sources also indicate that such events stoked widespread fear amongst members of the ruling elites, medical profession, social commentators and civil society, not least as it was recognised that smallpox did not respect political, geographical, racial and class boundaries. In fact, it was not uncommon for a mere handful of variola cases to foster great official and civilian nervousness, which meant that ‘epidemic emergencies’ were promptly announced, almost as soon as a few specific cases were confirmed.

That said, smallpox epidemics could involve scores, hundreds or thousands of cases – the highly contagious nature of variola and its gruesome possibilities made number crunching relatively unimportant. Indeed, in colonial South Asia the discovery of a few cases was often considered to represent a prelude to the unravelling of a crisis that would inevitably result in further infections and innumerable deaths; while large-scale mortality was usually considered to be an affirmation of the dangers expected of variola, a less dramatic toll on human life was generally celebrated as an instance of good fortune.

The destructive nature of smallpox – and the frequent reappearance of outbreaks of the disease – ensured that a variety of medical, political, religious and social players kept searching for effective means of controlling its spread. Continuing disagreements about the best means of countering the threat posed by variola meant that a plethora of approaches co-existed side by side; a feature visible across ages and geographical locations, as those stricken or threatened by smallpox picked and chose from preventives and remedies. Sometimes involving the use of the isolation of those stricken with the disease, smallpox control measures could also range from religious ceremonies (the worship of the goddess Sitala was widespread in South Asia) to the inoculation of humans with live variola virus (variolation) or more benign animal pox-based viruses (vaccination).
 
 

The push for eradication


Smallpox recognition
card, c.1973, courtesy
Dr. Damodar Bhonsule,
Panjim, Goa, India.
 

Official policy documents from Asia and Africa, dating from the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries, sometimes refer to the goal of certain administrators to eradicate smallpox – in such cases, the term eradication was generally used to describe their relatively limited aim of banishing variola from the geographical confines of specific political units. The term eradication was used in a far more wholesome and ambitious sense in the decade following the Second World War, when the formation of the United Nations fostered the development of wide-ranging plans to tackle the global incidence of certain diseases. Although the first concerted international assault led by the Geneva-based World Health Organization was directed at malaria, Soviet delegates drew attention to the possibility of expunging variola globally in the latter stages of the 1950s. The lobbying paid off, not least as there were fears within Europe and North America that smallpox could be reintroduced to those regions from countries where the disease was endemic, and the WHO Health Assembly made a concerted call for global smallpox eradication in 1958. This caused several national governments in Asia, Latin America and Africa to draw up blueprints for national smallpox eradication programmes, based on the plan to introduce 100 per cent vaccinal coverage within three to five years; the WHO’s stated goal was to provide technical assistance and inter-regional coordination, as and when it was required.

However, some national governments proved to be more committed to goal of smallpox eradication than others, which meant that the expansion of the global campaign was anything but uniform. Problems in this regard were compounded by the fact that the WHO’s early commitments to field activities remain unspectacular, which allowed countries like India, which had expected its programme to be bankrolled with UN money, to develop its programme extremely slowly and unevenly. Therefore, while progress was reported and confirmed in Latin America by the late 1960s, smallpox remained firmly entrenched in Asia.


Annual number of smallpox cases by continent, 1959-1966**

Continent

1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967*
Africa 16,307 16,823 26,060 24,329 16,863 12,506 16,784 14,127 9,554
Asia 71,309 39,843 53,957 63,616 98,784 43,537 39,145 50,494 50,958
Europe 26 47 24 136 129 -- 1 71 3
North
America
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
South
America
5,490 7,931 9,026 9,718 7,151 3,398 3,515 3,092 426
Oceania -- 1 -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Total 93,132 64,645 89,067 97,800 122,927 54,441 59,445 67,784 60,941

**Consolidated data compiled by WHO from various sources
*Until 15th July 1967
Source: Smallpox Eradication – Report of a WHO Scientific Group: World Health Organization Technical Report Series, No. 393 (Geneva: WHO, 1968), 7, Official Publications Room, Cambridge University Library, UK.

Some parts of Asia were, of course, far more badly affected by smallpox than others. South Asia, composed of India, Bangladesh (East Pakistan before 1971), Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Bhutan and Afghanistan was a major focus of endemic variola, causing the WHO to scrutinise the situation in this region carefully. India, because of its size, its geographical, political and social diversity, and its regular smallpox outbreaks was identified as a particularly challenging field of operations. This characterisation was not misplaced, as the country began to throw up innumerable problems, ranging from political and administrative apathy to civilian hostility. Persistently visible right through the 1960s, these difficulties delayed the Indian national smallpox eradication programme (NSEP) and ultimately caused it to face complete collapse by the end of the decade.

Smallpox cases in India and the world, 1950-1977

Year India World India/World Percentage
1950 157,487 332,224 47.4
1951 253,332 485,942 52.1
1952 74,836 155,609 48.1
1953 37,311 90,768 41.1
1954 46,619 97,731 47.7
1955 41,887 87,743 47.7
1956 45,109 92,164 48.9
1957 78,666 156,404 50.3
1958 168,216 278,922 60.3
1959 47,109 94,603 50.4
1960 31,091 65,737 47.3
1961 45,380 88,730 51.3
1962 55,595 98,700 56.3
1963 83,423 133,003 62.7
1964 41,160 75,910 54.2
1965 33,402 112,703 29.8
1966 32,616 92,620 35.2
1967 83,943 131,418 63.9
1968 30,925 80,213 37.8
1969 19,139 52,204 35.3
1970 12,341 33,663 36.7
1971 16,166 52,794 30.6
1972 20,407 65,153 31.3
1973 88,109 135,851 64.9
1974 188,003 218,364 86.1
1975 1,436 19,278 7.5
1976 Zero 953 --
1977 Zero 3,234 --

Source: R.N. Basu, Z. Jezek and N.A. Ward, The Eradication of Smallpox from India (WHO/SEARO: New Delhi, 1979), 36.

The Indian NSEP was rescued from complete breakdown by the detailed negotiations carried out by WHO representatives like Donald Henderson (then Chief of the Smallpox Eradication Unit in the WHO Headquarters in Geneva), who realised that its termination would spell the end for the global programme for smallpox eradication. For this reason, Henderson and his colleagues went out of their way to meet senior Indian politicians, promise heightened levels of financial and technical aid, and, not least, assure reforms within the WHO regional office; these efforts at winning over Indian political support for the smallpox eradication goal received backing from the highest levels of WHO administration, as it was accepted that the failure of such a high profile public health campaign would adversely affect the organisation’s international standing.


Variola (smallpox) virus,
J Cavallini/Wellcome Photo Library.
 
The WHO’s negotiations with the Indian authorities, and its ability to mobilise significant funds for the NSEP’s needs from the Swedish International Development Agency, allowed the programme to be expanded gradually, with the active assistance of some Indian officials and politicians based in New Delhi. Indeed, India’s bilateral agreements with the Soviet Union for the supply of millions of doses of freeze-dried smallpox vaccine as aid proved crucial to the extension of NSEP and its ability to reach an intensified level of activity in 1973. Administrative and political hiccups were never completely banished, but were dealt with by WHO and Indian federal officials with a combination of diplomacy, aggressive negotiation, hard work and doses of good fortune.

Subsequent NSEP work – based on intensive searches for variola, the laboratory testing specimens collected from rash and fever cases, the isolation of smallpox cases and the vaccination of all their contacts – allowed India to achieve the so-called ‘Smallpox Zero’ status in 1975. This initially caused as much disbelief as relief amongst senior WHO and Indian government personnel, who had not expected to reach this stage so quickly. There was, in fact, much nervousness amongst WHO officials about the Indian authorities’ decision to advertise and celebrate the achievement, as they continued to worry about the prospect of finding a hidden pocket of variola in what was a vast country; these concerns ensured the retention of regular and comprehensive searches over the course of several months, which revealed, to the great relief of all concerned, that the country had remained variola free for two years. These findings were carefully examined by an independent committee, which certified India to be free of smallpox in March 1977.

It is widely acknowledged that success in India was crucial to the achievement of the global eradication of naturally occurring smallpox in 1980, which was ultimately achieved after the last few cases of the disease were tracked down in the Horn of Africa (the last case of smallpox, which was the result of a variola minor infection, was tracked down, isolated and cured by WHO-led teams in Somalia in 1977). At the same time, it is useful to recognise that the success of other South Asian national smallpox eradication programmes were important as well, not least as the territories of East Pakistan/Bangladesh had been badly affected by civil strife and environmental disasters through the course of the 1960s and 1970s. While the last case of smallpox in Pakistan was found in 1974, the eradication of variola in Bangladesh could only certified in the second half of 1977, due mainly to all the political and social upheavals faced by the new nation (the country reported the last cases of smallpox in Asia in October 1975).
 
 

Historical research: How and why


Mr. John Wickett, of the World Health
Organization, with the last person to
have contracted – and survived –
naturally occurring smallpox in Somalia
(1977), courtesy Mr. John Wickett.
 
The global eradication of smallpox is arguably the greatest achievement of twentieth century medicine. Historical research into the developments that made this feat possible is important both from an academic point of view as well as an international public health perspective – there are many lessons to be learnt from a detailed historical examination of the unfolding of a multi-faceted campaign, based on the involvement of a range of international and national aid donors, in a diversity of political, social, economic and cultural contexts. Indeed, as the international polio eradication programme continues to suffer from serious structural difficulties, and as worried discussions about how best to cope with the possible outbreak and spread of a human variant of bird flu gather momentum, it seems that the lessons provided by the smallpox eradication could be extremely pertinent for governments and civilians alike. For instance, the smallpox story warns us that public health policies cannot be imposed with any confidence from the top. If anything, the smallpox eradication programme reveals the central importance of mobilising local bureaucratic, political and civilian support for public health programmes reliant on large-scale immunisation and isolation; it also reveals the significance of adapting public health activity and messages to a plethora local cultural mores and concerns, even though this policy is expensive. Effective public health delivery, as WHO and Indian federal government officials realised during their tours of duty in the sub-continent during the 1960s and 1970s, involved much more than the clinical provision of a medical technology that promised to protect from a grievous disease. Instead their experience in the field revealed that such work required intricate negotiations with those being targeted, as assurances had to be provided by vaccinal efficacy and safety, explanations provided about why someone had to be isolated and her/his contacts immunised, and, why young babies and children needed to endure painful post-vaccinal symptoms. Indeed, many field officials found that forcible vaccination proved counter-productive in the long term, especially when such regimes were followed by serious post-vaccinal complications and/or death. Resistance to future investigative tours could be violent, or be marked by people’s refusal to co-operate or, even, based on them fleeing their places of abode en masse (or hiding others); each of these tactics badly weakened the effectiveness of emergency measures, which prolonged campaigns and caused administrative problems for international and national agencies working with finite financial and personnel resources.

The studies on which this website is based have been made possible by generous financial support provided by the Wellcome Trust, UK. This website is the result of two Wellcome Trust-funded projects, one of which was started in October 2005 at the Wellcome Trust Centre for the History of Medicine at UCL. Dealing with the case study of smallpox control and eradication East Pakistan/Bangladesh, it builds on a previous project that dealt with historical developments in India and resulted in several publications. This website has several goals, namely:

  • It seeks to advertise the research findings of the Wellcome Trust-funded projects dealing with the global eradication of smallpox, with special reference to the South Asian region, to the widest possible audience – we seek to reach and interact with academics as well as members of the public, in the hope that we can help develop an active interest in international health history.
  • We seek to reach and contact people who were involved in any capacity with smallpox control and eradication work in South Asia or elsewhere: those took part in field operations, in financial and personnel management at international-, federal- and local-government level, in vaccine research and deployment, in publicity work, in immunisation camps etc.

Please feel free to contact us!

 
 

 

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