News & Analysis

Comment


will99878898

2/17/2011 8:22 PM EST

I bet they have done plenty of experiments with watson v. human before they ...

More...



phoenixdave

2/17/2011 5:59 PM EST

I guess I looked at it from the perspective of advancement of science. ...

More...

IBM: Playing Jeopardy with tax dollars

Rick Merritt

2/14/2011 7:22 PM EST

SAN JOSE, Calif. – Call me a curmudgeon, but underneath all the great press about IBM's Watson computer that will play Jeopardy against human champs, I see a less sexy story.

Sure, Watson is a great achievement in harnessing an array of computers to handle really tough jobs in natural language processing and open-ended inquiries. Google does a similarly great job with my typed questions every day that often flat out amazes me.

It's true that these are the sorts of efforts we too often take for granted. Our culture does not adequately value the hard work and acumen in science, math and technology required to perform the daily miracles behind a Web search or Facebook link.

I know this is much needed PR for engineers, the electronics industry—and of course Big Blue that wants to polish its image as a company that really can make businesses ready for a smarter planet, as they say in their ads.

But there's another really important reason why it is strategic for IBM to be seen very broadly by the American public as a company that can tackle tough computer problems. A big slice of Big Blue's pie comes from selling to the U.S. government some of the biggest, most technically exotic and most expensive computer systems in the world.

IBM has long had an out-sized share of contracts in areas such as the systems that simulate nuclear warfare and the effects of aging on our stockpile of nuclear missiles. They also win a generous share of supercomputing grants from the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency.

I do not know who sells to the U.S. government the super secret systems that track high res satellite images, monitor international communications and handle other jobs for the CIA and other military and security agencies. But I suspect IBM is right at the top of the list.

These are some of the most expensive and profitable systems in the world. They help pay for those New York fabs where IBM makes its proprietary Power and other processors and chip sets.

This business is an integral part of IBM's model and has been for years. That's what Jeopardy is not the first game IBM has played. It has wowed us with chess matches and other feats of computing finesse over many years.

With the American public so deeply impressed by IBM's prowess, it makes it a bit easier for the company to sell such high priced systems and exotic architectures. It also makes it easier for government program managers to write those big checks.

For the last decade or so inexpensive clusters of off-the-shelf computers have been making huge inroads into this so-called high performance computing sector. Meanwhile most companies promoting exotic and expensive technologies such as Cray have struggled to survive.

Indeed, the world's most powerful computer uses off the shelf Intel server processors and Nvidia graphics chips put together with a little special sauce of a unique internal cluster network. It was made in China, not by IBM.

Maybe Cray and Thinking Machines and the many U.S. high performance computer companies that have folded in the last 20 years would still be around if they played Jeopardy.

So while you are enjoying the great show and a little PR for the wizardry of computing and engineering, just remember, your tax dollars helped fund this demo.

 IBM researcher David Ferrucci plays against Watson


print

email

rss

Share

Joinpost comment



Comments


goafrit

2/14/2011 7:44 PM EST

At least this is tax money best spent. Let us have more others like the type IBM provides.

Sign in to Reply


Duane Benson

2/14/2011 8:04 PM EST

Of course our tax dollar helped fund IBM's Watson efforts. IBM as a result provides, as you noted, a slew of very advanced computing platforms to the U.S. taxpayer. Most successful businesses run that way, be they here in the U.S. or someplace else in the world.

Watson was clearly a publicity stunt. As was the China supercomputer mentioned. Both were built for the same reason: PR and prestige with the intent of selling their products to a wider audience.

Sign in to Reply


Marcus65

2/15/2011 3:10 PM EST

1. The idea that taxpayers are paying for it is absurd. The same Power7 servers are used by small, medium, and large size business running UNIX or Linux OS. The Watson machine just has a lot more of the servers than most companies (although large companies like banks and giant retailers have IBM Power7 systems just as large or nearly as large as Watson).

2. The software developed for Jeopardy is more likely to be used in data mining and analytics applications for private industry than for government super-computers (which usually have custom software for very specific needs such as scientific research).

Sign in to Reply



rick.merritt

2/14/2011 9:13 PM EST

@Duane: I would not call the Tianjin supercomputer a publicity stunt so much as an exercise in national pride. A shade of difference, I think.

Sign in to Reply


Duane Benson

2/15/2011 12:04 PM EST

I guess it's a matter of semantics. You could call Apollo a PR stunt, as well as an incredible mass of technological innovation and an exercise in national pride. What IBM did could also be called an exercise in corporate pride as well as a demonstration of technical prowess.

In my thinking, they can all kind of go hand in hand. You can certainly do PR stunts that benefit no one, or you can do such activities that, like the China supercomputer, Watson and Apollo, have the potential for wide-ranging benefits in addition to the PR value.

I don't consider a PR stunt to be inherently a negative. It's the intent and the substance that places it in the positive or negative. Perhaps "stunt" is the wrong word to use in this context.

Sign in to Reply



Nic_Mokhoff

2/14/2011 11:46 PM EST

It doesn't take much ingenuity to crank up the number of processors to gain a performance feat like the Chinese have done; it takes real software breakthroughs like what IBM is trying to show to make supercomputers useful. Playing against humans on Jeopardy shows how computesr could become more aware of their environments and calculate problems in context.

Sign in to Reply


will99878898

2/15/2011 2:32 AM EST

Your comment are clearly biased. like comparing an apple to peach. As someone who earn a living by writing posts you should respect different tech front/sectors.

Just like scientist shouldn't consider engineering work lower level/low IQ work, although there isn't even a Noble prize for engineer community.

Your conclusion is just nonsense.

Sign in to Reply



polylith

2/15/2011 12:45 PM EST

Nic_Mokhoff is NOT speaking nonsense. The techniques of supercomputer architecture are well known and making incremental progress, while commendable and necessary, and certainly welcome from the Chinese, is not a breakthrough or completing a "grand challenge."

IBM's achievement with Watson is not incremental progress, and while the event is certain full of hype and IBM brand promotion, the technical achievement is remarkable.

Sign in to Reply



will99878898

2/15/2011 7:28 PM EST

Ok, maybe in your opinion.

and your standard is apparently flawed.

Are you going to tell those who working in foundrys who is shrinking line-width whose work is less remarkable than those who invented a new iphone app?

Sign in to Reply



polylith

2/16/2011 2:18 PM EST

You should look for flaws in your own arguments.

Tianhe 1a - 2.57 petaflops
Cray Jaguar - 1.75 petaflops

Peformance gain 47% - nice achievement, but not groundbreaking or off the charts, considering 10 Pflops is on the way.

Watson has nothing that even came close to its functionality for comparison, except possibly the humans that it trounced at Jeopardy.

Comparing Watson to a mobile app is like comparing James Joyce's Ulysses to Mother Goose.

Sign in to Reply



will99878898

2/16/2011 7:26 PM EST

I bet there are plenty of AI's ahead of watson. They are not the first one to use computer to run some 'robot'style job. It's no secret.

You are apparently 2 naive to overestimate IBM 's achievement. IBM is master of PR and not really innovation.

tons of ppl writing chess programs for decades and voice recognition etc. IBM is sitting on someone's shoulder as well.

Sign in to Reply



Scott Brooks

2/15/2011 2:59 PM EST

Your premise would make much more sense if IBM was using a supercomputer, such as Blue Gene, to power Watson. But Watson is powered by IBM's commercial Power7 system -- the same one in use by thousands of commercial customers. Nothing exotic. Standard -- but leadership -- IBM hardware. Clients can buy them today.

Scott Brooks
IBM

Sign in to Reply


AnotherOneToo

2/15/2011 3:33 PM EST

While we agree that it is important for technology journalists to be able to distinguish between different makes and models of the latest computer systems on the market, it is equally important for sales representatives not to make the IBM commercial Power7 system sound like a standard off-the-shelf laptop, but rather to be true to facts about the unique "accommodations that were made was that the [Jeopardy] set was brought remotely to IBM's upstate New York headquarters to accommodate the size of Watson, who fills an entire average sized bedroom" -

Read more: http://techland.time.com/2011/02/15/behind-the-scenes-with-jeopardys-executive-producer-and-alex-trebek/#ixzz1E3qZdKmq

Sign in to Reply



thetroofisnow

2/15/2011 3:02 PM EST

Journalism must be easy if you just speculate and don't bother finding any sources.

Lots of companies contact to the government.

Sign in to Reply


INOV8TN

2/15/2011 3:35 PM EST

Tax dollars??? I don't think so. Cash is fungible so money that IBM received from a government could find its way to the Watson Program but after it leaves the government's hands it becomes IBM's money not tax dollars.

The author or the headline writer at EE Times is using a red herring to spike readership.

Tsk, tsk.

Sign in to Reply


Ckantack

2/15/2011 5:18 PM EST

I'd rather our computing tax dollars go to IBM than a foreign firm.

Sign in to Reply


Chuck.Li

2/15/2011 6:43 PM EST

This is a totally biased article that made obvious from its headline. I can't think of ONE tech firm in the US that has not been helped by the US government's funding one way or the other, which is a fact the author conveniently forgot to mention.

Sign in to Reply


AydinGA

2/15/2011 11:31 PM EST

It wouldn't be a waste of bandwidth and my time, if you could come up with a better way of spending tax dollars.

Sign in to Reply


KB3001

2/16/2011 7:35 AM EST

@Rick, this is the nature of the game I am afraid. Some good has, does and will come out of such initiatives. As for the question whether it would have been better to spend tax payer's money on other HPC providers, who knows? There is merit in going with big players such as IBM (less risk involved) but there is also merit in spreading the money around to encourage innovation and competition.

All in all, I would rather see tax payer's money spent on projects like these (with a plethora of application that could benefit us all) than see it spent on meaningless and destructive wars...

Sign in to Reply


mstevens

2/16/2011 7:38 AM EST

This is the second insultingly ill informed column I've read about Supercomputing this week. The first was a piece that proclaimed a new machine going into Argonne was "no cheap date" when, as far as I can tell from the information available it is the least expensive per flop machine out there that isn't using GPUs. In this article on Watson, in addition to the complaints outlined above, it is clear that Mr. Merritt hasn't got a clue about the procurement procedures around COTS based supercomputers. The Petaflops for Picobucks procurement process that has dominated the industry for the past 15 years or so has resulted in SGI going out of business a couple of times, Cray going out of business and being re-invented, HP publicly walking away from HPC until recently, IBM stating that they would not be bidding traditional HPC opportunities, Sun (after the Oracle purchase) walking away from the business, Linux Networks Rest In Peace, Kendall Square Research Rest in Peace, nCUBE Rest in Peace, NCR -- out of the business, Fujitsu -- out of the business, Amdahl -- out of the business, etc.. The list of dead, dying and fiscally self defending companies is long and distinguished.


Sign in to Reply


mstevens

2/16/2011 7:39 AM EST

(continued)

This crushing push toward Supercomputing based on cheap (and I don't just mean inexpensive) components with no margin for funding innovation has left us with a very sad bone yard of companies who were known for innovation.

There are many reasons for our industry winding up in this sad state: Top500? Partially. COTS mandate by DARPA? Certainly. There are many others. The achievement by my esteemed competitors at IBM should be lauded for the revolutionary approach it is. For once, the industry isn't continuing in the soul sucking innovation death spiral. I for one, hope this coupled with the Peter Koggee piece in IEEE in the last couple of weeks about the serious issues that are waiting for us as we head toward the elusive exaflop wakes some people up.

As for eetimes, I hope the editors take a bit more care in researching their "journalist's" posts. This piece is full of cheap half truths, tired cliche's and mis-statements.

Sign in to Reply


Nic_Mokhoff

2/16/2011 11:14 AM EST

Having watched the second episode where Watson crushed his human opponents in skill and speed, a strange and scary thought crossed my mind. I don't think the average TV Jeopardy! watcher has a clue as to the significance of IBM's and partners' achievements. The supercomputer's real achievements never came across no matter what the IBM commercial breaks had to say about the IBM feats and its applications in the real world. The problem lies in the sophistication of explaining content within context to the average Watson watcher. In fact, the final answer showed how hard that can be in machine understanding. Category: Cities. Final answer: Which city has an airport named after a WWII hero and another after a WWII battle. Anybody flying thru the midwest and knowing their history can collect on this: Chicago, with O'Hare and Midway. Watson wagered a very small amount because the program algorithm knew that its answer,-- Toronto with six questions marks--, was not a sure bet. Of course, the machine had to calculate millions of variables among cities, and on WWII data points without really knowing the context of all three. We have a long way to go for Watson being reliable in business and scientific feats, and arguing about procurement procedures ain't going to cut it. As an industry we need a political action committee to sway our legislators to the side of nerds and geeks who can solve real problems with powerful machines. But Watson deserves credit for opening the debate.

Sign in to Reply


AnotherOneToo

2/16/2011 6:58 PM EST

The real strength in Watson will be its ability to listen in on every cell phone call in every language and serve to identify and prevent terrorist activity before it occurs.

Sign in to Reply


Ebird

2/17/2011 4:58 PM EST

BM has contracts for the supercomputers at national labs Los Alamos, Lawrence Livermore and Argonne. Some of these supercomputer contracts are at least partially managed by the National Security Agency. IBM system S was developed substantially by money from the NSA, called distillery internally. Note that IBM was founded on a government contract for the tabulating machines to compute the 1890 census.

Sign in to Reply


phoenixdave

2/17/2011 5:59 PM EST

I guess I looked at it from the perspective of advancement of science. Challenges of doing something that is not currently possible are usually the best incentive for great minds to focus their efforts towards a specific task. Kennedy placed that challenge in front of NASA decades ago to put a man on the moon and safely return him before the end of the decade, and it was achieved. The science and technology that was developed as a result has touched all of our lives. I for one congratulate the IBM engineers for their accomplishments. Remember, there are always two sides to a coin. If Watson was successful in beating the humans the engineers are praised, but on the other side of the coin this could have be a complete disaster and the engineers would be selling parts at their local Radio Shack. They stuck their necks out and were successful, and we will all undoubtedly benefit from the new technology developed from their efforts.

Sign in to Reply


will99878898

2/17/2011 8:22 PM EST

I bet they have done plenty of experiments with watson v. human before they stage this on TV.

Sign in to Reply



Please sign in to post comment

Navigate to related information

Product Parts Search

Enter part number or keyword
PartsSearch

Get the Products Newsletter

You're busy but you want to stay on top of the latest products news in the industry. Solution? Subscribe to the EE Times Products Newsletter. Distributed every Friday, it gives you a comprehensive listing of the most recent product announcements we've covered and links to the stories. Subscribe today! 

Feedback Form